Fiscal Space Analysis Consultant Firm – Somalia/Somaliland – 10 novembre 2026

Contexte

Fiscal Space Analysis for Somalia/Somaliland (2026-2027): Strengthening Domestic Resource Mobilization and Sector Financing for Sustainable Development. The fiscal systems in Somalia remain structurally constrained, fragmented, and highly dependent on external financing. Despite gradual improvements in public financial management (PFM) reforms and modest gains in domestic revenue mobilization, fiscal space remains limited by narrow tax bases, weak institutional capacity, high expenditure rigidity, and persistent political economy constraints. These structural weaknesses directly affect the State’s ability to progressively realize children’s rights through adequate financing of essential services. At a macro-fiscal level, Somalia/land’s aggregate domestic revenue remains below 15% of GDP, significantly underperforming compared to the Sub-Saharan African average of 18–20%. Expenditure structures across all governance systems are highly rigid, with wage bills and security expenditures consuming between 50% and 75% of total recurrent spending. A defining feature of Somalia/land’s fiscal architecture is the high degree of aid dependency and fragmentation, while complex political economy dynamics shape the fiscal space.

Missions et responsabilités

• Preparation of materials and resources for the fiscal space analysis.
• Conducting a comprehensive desk review.
• Facilitating stakeholder and validation workshops.
• Developing the final fiscal space analysis report.

Profil recherché

• Firm Experience: At least three (3) similar (country level assignments) completed in the last 7-10 years, covering fiscal space analysis, DRM diagnostics, public expenditure reviews, or PFM assessments.
• Child-Sensitive/Social Sector Experience: Demonstrated experience in child-sensitive or social-sector public finance analysis (education, health, nutrition, protection).
• Modelling Experience: Experience in fiscal scenario modelling, financing gap analysis, and human capital ROI modelling (World Bank Human Capital Project approach, sector costing, simulation tools, cost-of-inaction analysis).
• Data Harmonization: Experience harmonizing fiscal data across authorities with different reporting cycles and building consolidated fiscal and financing databases.
• Methodologies: Experience applying child budget analysis, child-sensitive expenditure tagging and tracking, and Save the Children’s PF4C approach.
• Political Economy: Experience in analyzing intragovernmental fiscal relations, on-budget and off-budget aid flows, and political economy dynamics.
• Research Methods: Strong experience using desk review, KIIs, stakeholder mapping, budget and aid flow analysis, and validation workshops.
• Outputs: A record of producing policy briefs, advocacy toolkits, and budget advocacy materials.
• Contextual Experience: Demonstrated experience in Somalia, Somaliland, or comparable federal and fragile contexts, including understanding political and fiscal architecture.
• Access and Relations: Existing relationships with, or demonstrated ability to access and coordinate with relevant ministries and parliamentary committees in Somalia/Somaliland.
• Fragile Settings: Demonstrated ability to work in fragile, conflict-affected, and access-constrained settings with a security and risk management plan.
• Team Leader: Master’s degree or equivalent in economics, public finance, development economics, public policy, or related field, with at least 10 years of experience in fiscal policy, DRM, and public expenditure analysis, including lead author of at least two studies.
• Core Team: At least three specialists with advanced degrees and minimum 5 years of experience (DRM and tax policy specialist, child-focused public finance specialist, fiscal modeler).
• Language & Skills: Somali language proficiency in the team or local research coordinators, strong English communication and report-writing skills, with facilitation experience.
• Global Benchmarks: Familiarity with Education 2030/Incheon targets, Abuja Declaration, UHC benchmarks, ILO Recommendation No. 202, Open Budget Survey, GIFT principles, OECD best practices, and cross-cutting lenses (gender, disability, climate).
• Compliance: Compliance with Save the Children’s procurement, due diligence, partner vetting, child safeguarding policy, and data protection requirements.

Conditions et avantages

• Period of Consultancy: 3 Months.
• Consultant Type: Consultancy Firm.
• Logistics and Costs: Save the Children will pay the consultant fee in a lump sum and will not reimburse any incurred costs. The consultant covers their own logistical arrangements, food, accommodation, local transport, and data collection costs.

Taxation Provisions: The consultancy firm is responsible for all taxes arising from the consultancy in line with local tax regulations.

• Travel Requirements: The firm covers all travel costs (tickets) and arranges local travel to field sites.
• Security Requirements: Compliance with Save the Children security procedures, including online security training for international consultants.

Dossier de candidature

• Essential Criteria Documents: Signed Terms & Conditions of Bidding, signed Supplier Sustainability Policy, valid Certificate of Registration (national or international), valid Tax Compliance Certificate (national or international).
• Technical Proposal: Detailed technical proposal with clear understanding of TOR, methodology, work plan, milestones, and data analysis plan.
• Previous Reports: Two copies of previous similar reports relevant to the subject matter.
• Bank Statement: Official and genuine signed bank statement from 1st November 2025 to 31st October 2026.
• Experience Proof: At least two contracts and/or LPOs for similar assignments.
• CVs: Two CVs for the proposed technical team detailing qualifications and experience.
• Cover Letter: Introducing the company, outlining technical expertise, interest, and suitability.
• Company Profile: Updated Company Profile (Optional).
• Financial Proposal: Detailed financial proposal with budget breakdown including all expenses, fees, and taxes.

Comment postuler

• Procedure: Submit applications via email. Do not copy other SCI email addresses. All attached documents must be clearly labelled.
• Email Address: [email protected]
• Clarifications: Direct queries to [email protected] (responses within maximum two working days; do not send tender questions to the tender box email).
• Subject Line: TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR FISCAL SPACE ANALYSIS FOR SOMALIA/SOMALILAND
• File Size Limit: Maximum 15mb per email (split submission into two emails if file sizes are large).
• Deadline: On or before 25th November 2026, EAT.